Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.201538 0.227272 0.254459 0.285263 0.319138 0.355195 0.396416
2025-06-22 0.166431 0.201021 0.239629 0.285717 0.339025 0.398530 0.469752
2025-06-29 0.140925 0.180784 0.227450 0.285688 0.355957 0.437523 0.538843
2025-07-06 0.121339 0.164436 0.217110 0.285492 0.371102 0.473877 0.605630
2025-07-13 0.107479 0.153112 0.211093 0.289049 0.389856 0.514450 0.678546
2025-07-20 0.097862 0.145891 0.209095 0.296767 0.413412 0.561285 0.760621
2025-07-27 0.087881 0.136902 0.203617 0.298942 0.429201 0.598267 0.831106
2025-08-03 0.080835 0.131129 0.201713 0.305303 0.450280 0.642415 0.912059
2025-08-10 0.075275 0.126832 0.201289 0.313291 0.473495 0.689861 0.998694
2025-08-17 0.067720 0.118707 0.194553 0.311564 0.482682 0.718230 1.060188
2025-08-24 0.061505 0.111983 0.189222 0.311257 0.493458 0.748733 1.125169
2025-08-31 0.055878 0.105604 0.183814 0.310267 0.502848 0.777243 1.187901
2025-09-07 0.052294 0.102405 0.183304 0.316962 0.524313 0.824382 1.279610
2025-09-14 0.047682 0.096975 0.178776 0.317024 0.535656 0.857174 1.351803
2025-09-21 0.043497 0.091849 0.174295 0.316751 0.546272 0.889059 1.423506
2025-09-28 0.039740 0.087089 0.170010 0.316405 0.556553 0.920574 1.495420
2025-10-05 0.037046 0.084032 0.168363 0.320208 0.573394 0.962349 1.583648
2025-10-12 0.035299 0.082616 0.169446 0.328575 0.597789 1.016300 1.691600
2025-10-19 0.032815 0.079463 0.167149 0.330920 0.612317 1.055307 1.777786
2025-10-26 0.031168 0.077845 0.167507 0.337834 0.634559 1.106914 1.884577
2025-11-02 0.029868 0.076820 0.168866 0.346521 0.660013 1.164236 2.001614
2025-11-09 0.027383 0.072962 0.164532 0.344638 0.667321 1.192677 2.074099
2025-11-16 0.025295 0.069748 0.161183 0.344301 0.677145 1.225301 2.153845